Title Permutation Time!

The time has come, the season is nearly over, but there’s still something to say on who can win a title at the season-finale for the 2022 FIA World Endurance Championship. 

There is one point per class available for pole today. Let the permutations begin!

Overall
Toyota #8, Alpine #36 and Toyota #7 are still eligible

Toyota #8 Buemi/Hartley/Hirakawa / 121 points
Champions if.. (‘It’ equals one scenario, e.g. there are three scenarios below in which car number 8 wins the title)
It finishes ahead of 36
It takes pole position, finishes ahead of 7, and 36 fails to finish
It takes pole position, and 8, 36 and 7 all fail to finish

Alpine #36 Lapierre/Negrao/Vaxiviere / 121 points
Champions if
It finishes ahead of 8
It takes pole position, finishes ahead of 7, and 8 fails to finish
It takes pole position, and 36, 8 and 7 all fail to finish

Toyota #7 Conway/Kobayashi/Lopez
Champions if
It wins or finishes 2nd, and both 8 and 36 fail to finish

LMP2
Jota #38, United #23, RealTeam by WRT #41, WRT #31 and Prema #9 are still eligible

Jota 38 leads all rivals on countback except for WRT 31, having scored more podiums than the rest, however 31 has won more races than any rival

Jota #38 da Costa/Stevens/Gonzalez / 114 points
Champions if
It finishes above all of the below cars
It finishes in the top 6, regardless of the below rivals

United Autosports #23 Pierson/Jarvis / 86 points
Champions if
It wins and #38 finishes 7th or lower, having not taken pole
It takes pole position, finishes 2nd, and a car other than #41, #31 or #9 wins

Realteam by WRT #41 Nato/Habsburg/Andrade / 80 points
Champions if
It wins, #38 finishes 9th or lower

WRT #31 Gelael/Frijns / 78 points
Champions if
It wins and #38 finishes 10th or lower
It takes pole position, wins and 38 finishes 9th or lower

Prema #9 Deletraz/Habsburg/Colombo / 76 points
Champions if
It must take pole position, win, and #38 fails to finish

LMP2 Pro-Am
AF Corse #83, Algarve Pro #45, Ultimate #35 are still eligible

AF Corse #83 Perrodo/Nielsen/Rovera / 139 points
Champions if
It finishes above 45
It finishes 3rd and 45 finishes 2nd

Algarve Pro #45 Thomas/Binder/Allen / 131 points
Champions if
It wins
It finishes and 83 does not

Ultimate #35 / 102 points
Champion if
It finishes and both 83 and 45 fail to finish

GTE Pro
AF Corse #51, Porsche #92, Porsche #91 and AF Corse #52 are all still eligible

AF Corse #51 leads most scenarios on countback, having won more races than its rivals

AF Corse #51 Calado/Pier Guidi / 120 points
Champions if
It finishes 2nd and 91 wins
It finishes 3rd or 4th and neither Porsche wins
It takes pole, finishes 5th and 92 finishes 2nd or lower
It finishes 5th, neither Porsche wins, but 91 finishes ahead of 92
It takes pole and finishes 2nd 

Porsche #92 Estre/Christensen / 109 points
Champions if
It takes pole position and wins
It finishes 2nd, 51 finishes 5th, and 91 does not win
It finishes 3rd, and both 51 and 91 fail to finish

Porsche #91 Bruni / 106 points
Champions if
It wins, and 51 finishes 3rd or lower having not taken pole
It finishes 2nd, 92 does not win, and 51 fails to finish
It takes pole, finishes 2nd, finishes ahead of 92, and 51 fails to finish

AF Corse #52 Molina/Fuoco / 93 points
Champions if
It wins and 51, 92 and 91 all fail to finish
It takes pole position, finishes 2nd, and all of 51, 92 and 91 fail to finish

GTE Am
TF Sport 33 and NorthWest AMR 98 are still eligible

TF Sport 33 leads NorthWest 98 on countback, having won more races and better podium finishes overall than 98.

TF Sport 33 Keating/Sorensen / 123 points
Champions if
It finishes ahead of 98
Both cars fail to finish

NorthWest AMR 98 Dalla Lana/Thiim/Pittard / 103 points
Champions if
It takes pole position, wins and 33 finishes 4th or lower
It finishes 2nd and 33 finishes 8th or lower, having not taken pole
It takes pole, finishes 3rd and 33 finishes 9th or lower
It finishes 3rd and 33 finishes 10th or lower, having not taken pole
 

With thanks to 'Magic Alex' WECData